The Truth Machine — A Stock's Real Value in 5 Inputs (FCF Model)
You bought a "value stock" because someone smart on Twitter said it was cheap. Six months later it was 40% cheaper. You didn't have a way to defend the price you paid. That's the problem this fixes.
Wall Street pays analysts $250,000+/year to do one thing: defend a fair-value estimate out loud. Five inputs. Three scenarios. One number you'd bet your money on. This is that exact tool, in Excel, in your hands.
WHAT YOU GET:
- Multi-year DCF model — The same framework professional analysts use. No add-ins, no macros, no Bloomberg required.
- Bear / Base / Bull scenarios — Because one fair-value estimate is theatre. A range is analysis.
- Full sensitivity tables — See how fair value moves across terminal growth and discount rates. Find your asymmetric setups.
- Comprehensive User Guide — Walks you through your first valuation step-by-step.
- Defensible methodology — Five inputs you have to defend out loud. Defend them or the model is theatre.
WHO THIS IS FOR: Long-term investors who want their valuations to be defensible, not vibes-based. Anyone intimidated by DCF — this is the most beginner-friendly serious DCF model available.
FORMAT: Excel (.xlsx) + PDF user guide. Compatible with Excel 2016+ and Google Sheets. One-time purchase, yours forever. The cost of one bad stock decision avoided pays for this 20× over.
Additional info
Excel download with mutiple tabs, including instructions and easy to use input fields
